Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6836a0a4854593a1f02b461b1f92cf6f80ecac86aa9bcbfa197252c8678f70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 2,486$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.24 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,208$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 1,126$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.44 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,092$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.31 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 446.84$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 27c | 369.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 19c | 299.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 23c | 296.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 293.12$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 59c | 230.62$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 193.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 188.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 167.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 18c | 148$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 123.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 18c | 107.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 38c | 97.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 92.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 15c | 75.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 25c | 64.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 63.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 62.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 40c | 59.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 31c | 54.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 54.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 62c | 51.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 50.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 42.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed Yes | 34c | 36.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 34.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 52c | 32.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 72c | 31.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 59c | 23.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 67c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.