Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Wright State Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3da07f779b0d7f815c7865dd12c953339d65177db8303015cc8d01bb222b5cda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Wright State Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wright State Raiders | 74c | 1,832$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wright State Raiders | 73c | 1,479$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.41 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 23c | 1,428$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.52 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 4c | 984.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wright State Raiders | 70c | 831.6$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 27c | 830$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 26c | 762.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 27c | 702$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 28c | 682$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 27c | 357$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 22c | 303.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Wright State Raiders | 66c | 290.63$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Wright State Raiders | 57c | 275$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 21c | 260$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wright State Raiders | 80c | 220.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wright State Raiders | 73c | 186.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 32c | 174.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Wright State Raiders | 62c | 161.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 25c | 156.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 148$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 27c | 118.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wright State Raiders | 74c | 110.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wright State Raiders | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wright State Raiders | 56c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 25c | 59.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 27c | 59.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 58.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Wright State Raiders | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Wright State Raiders | 69c | 26.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Wright State Raiders | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Wright State Raiders | 75c | 17.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Wright State Raiders | 77c | 16.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Wright State Raidersthis page
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-7.5)Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.