MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd73aea68106c9fe490a45ab28ab3c3b483471d4b5f375b496f204127d9479e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Kiwoom Heroes, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 4,309$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.68 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 983.37$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.51 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Samsung Lions | 75c | 573.54$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 79c | 532.69$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 493$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 457.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Samsung Lions | 75c | 422.78$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 378.79$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 368.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 328.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…d64cbacked Samsung Lions | 76c | 307.1$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 299.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 278.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked Samsung Lions | 75c | 265.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 74c | 265$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 259.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 178.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 158$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kiwoom Heroes | 14c | 143.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 18c | 135.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Samsung Lions | 75c | 132.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 79c | 100.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 97.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 89.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…47e2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 64.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Samsung Lions | 75c | 62.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kiwoom Heroes | 20c | 59.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 50.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 49.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…53ccbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 47.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 79c | 45.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 36.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…4ad4backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 32.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Samsung Lions | 76c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 25.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 15.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Samsung Lions | 75c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…bb79backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.