Fifa International · resolved market
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e27ba4c40c50569a7d027af86c18929ef1a331e7e00e8849bce831b2921de86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 12,352$9,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.76 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 9,080$7,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.28 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…539abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 4,896$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 4,690$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.52 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 16c | 3,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 32c | 3,169$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 2,244$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.25 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 5c | 1,862$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 1,232$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.44 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 1,063$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 77c | 835.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 30c | 807.95$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 31c | 635.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 72c | 616$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 588.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 16c | 540.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 5c | 514.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 512.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 29c | 510.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 32c | 428.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 5c | 416.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 21c | 341.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…a486backed Yes | 12c | 331.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 78c | 330.2$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 66c | 319.09$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 15c | 297.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 14c | 289.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 275.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 16c | 262.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…670cbacked Yes | 7c | 258.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 250.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…6a9cbacked No | 73c | 250.06$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 15c | 225.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 79c | 188.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 31c | 178.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 76c | 167.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 159.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 17c | 112.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 15c | 105.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Yes | 24c | 101.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 80c | 98.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 98.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked Yes | 28c | 91.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 238 | 44.1%105 W · 133 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 74.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 31c | 74.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked No | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 79c | 57.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 575 | 41.7%240 W · 335 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…1fe9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed No | 77c | 44.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 77c | 37.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 66c | 22.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 71c | 21.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 70c | 17.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 78c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?this page
- Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?Yes won
- Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.