Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e37d551a9e744d953de833291b815164b164934bb12db66a8d01cb3c0d03f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phoenixof Shark Attack, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Shark Attack | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Shark Attack | 13c | 1,195$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…dc64backed Shark Attack | 1c | 999.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Shark Attack | 26c | 665$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 2,248 | 37.3%838 W · 1,410 L | -33.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Team Phoenix | 65c | 606.96$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Shark Attack | 41c | 520$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Team Phoenix | 63c | 420.3$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.3 | 812 | 50.6%411 W · 401 L | +47.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shark Attack | 8c | 418.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1,613 | 17.5%283 W · 1,330 L | -246.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Phoenix | 59c | 414.49$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1,877 | 39.9%749 W · 1,128 L | -66.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Shark Attack | 30c | 328.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked Shark Attack | 40c | 310$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Phoenix | 77c | 308.14$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 3,032 | 44.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L | -100.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed Team Phoenix | 71c | 281.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Shark Attack | 43c | 267.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 291 | 35.4%103 W · 188 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Shark Attack | 37c | 194.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 415 | 27.5%114 W · 301 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shark Attack | 13c | 159.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1,925 | 37.1%715 W · 1,210 L | -115.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Team Phoenix | 63c | 146.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 531 | 49.5%263 W · 268 L | +30.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Shark Attack | 38c | 145.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Shark Attack | 39c | 136.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Shark Attack | 24c | 107.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Shark Attack | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,107 | 46.3%513 W · 594 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Shark Attack | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 792 | 46.8%371 W · 421 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Phoenix | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,368 | 48.8%667 W · 701 L | -29.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shark Attack | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,007 | 45.4%457 W · 550 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Shark Attack | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 566 | 28.8%163 W · 403 L | -32.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Phoenix | 63c | 47.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,954 | 42.4%829 W · 1,125 L | -43.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Shark Attack | 42c | 47.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 40.2%259 W · 385 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Phoenix | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Team Phoenix | 63c | 22.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 434 | 50.5%219 W · 215 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Team Phoenix | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-InsTeam Phoenix won
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerTeam Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.