Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8017d6ab5d1181df10172027114d87d50fadef6c699eea737abf71b39317c99a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phoenixof Shark Attack, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shark Attack | 19c | 5,414$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.26 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shark Attack | 28c | 1,610$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.09 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Team Phoenix | 78c | 1,272$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…6ec2backed Team Phoenix | 75c | 1,132$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.91 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Team Phoenix | 74c | 1,098$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.43 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Team Phoenix | 77c | 1,041$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.78 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Shark Attack | 23c | 990.22$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.04 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Phoenix | 77c | 943.27$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.9 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Team Phoenix | 76c | 916.21$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.21 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shark Attack | 26c | 875.45$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Team Phoenix | 78c | 850$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shark Attack | 12c | 666.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Shark Attack | 26c | 580.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed Team Phoenix | 75c | 504.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shark Attack | 13c | 500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shark Attack | 10c | 414.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…996bbacked Team Phoenix | 65c | 380.7$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Team Phoenix | 74c | 337.14$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +17.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Team Phoenix | 79c | 330$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Shark Attack | 27c | 314.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Shark Attack | 21c | 300.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Shark Attack | 34c | 273$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Phoenix | 77c | 247.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shark Attack | 18c | 208.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Team Phoenix | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…9eb5backed Shark Attack | 6c | 199.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Phoenix | 73c | 194.56$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Shark Attack | 8c | 172.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked Team Phoenix | 73c | 157.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed Team Phoenix | 72c | 156.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Team Phoenix | 71c | 140.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…5d9fbacked Team Phoenix | 72c | 139.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shark Attack | 27c | 121.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Shark Attack | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Shark Attack | 13c | 96.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shark Attack | 29c | 93.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shark Attack | 17c | 86.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…985dbacked Team Phoenix | 79c | 59.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Shark Attack | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Shark Attack | 40c | 41.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…cf07backed Team Phoenix | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Shark Attack | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…7393backed Team Phoenix | 80c | 32.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…e129backed Team Phoenix | 80c | 26.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Team Phoenix | 72c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Team Phoenix | 74c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-InsTeam Phoenix won
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerTeam Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.