Tennis · resolved market
ITF Champaign: Eli Stephenson vs Oliver Okonkwo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea144921b903d64e371d308aa422bfe08b985716113fa0e14d8e901878ba318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eli Stephensonof Eli Stephenson, Oliver Okonkwo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Oliver Okonkwo | 52c | 9,735$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.23 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eli Stephenson | 37c | 5,384$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.51 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Eli Stephenson | 60c | 3,074$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.63 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Eli Stephenson | 30c | 2,580$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806 | 497 | 52.3%260 W · 237 L | +28.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Oliver Okonkwo | 27c | 1,786$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.27 | 234 | 62.8%147 W · 87 L | +16.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Oliver Okonkwo | 28c | 1,751$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.26 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Oliver Okonkwo | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Eli Stephenson | 32c | 838.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.97 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oliver Okonkwo | 55c | 692.87$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.67 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Oliver Okonkwo | 48c | 601.72$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.85 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oliver Okonkwo | 62c | 580.89$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.82 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Eli Stephenson | 37c | 561.74$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.76 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Oliver Okonkwo | 28c | 446.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Oliver Okonkwo | 66c | 355.15$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.24 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Eli Stephenson | 34c | 335.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Eli Stephenson | 37c | 257.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eli Stephenson | 80c | 253$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Eli Stephenson | 36c | 249.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Oliver Okonkwo | 30c | 246.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Eli Stephenson | 37c | 236$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Eli Stephenson | 38c | 180.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Eli Stephenson | 29c | 175.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eli Stephenson | 67c | 175.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Eli Stephenson | 30c | 172.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Eli Stephenson | 17c | 169.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eli Stephenson | 32c | 165.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Eli Stephenson | 32c | 164.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…4d59backed Oliver Okonkwo | 26c | 149.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Eli Stephenson | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Eli Stephenson | 30c | 111$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Eli Stephenson | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…f218backed Eli Stephenson | 31c | 91.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Oliver Okonkwo | 26c | 91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Eli Stephenson | 37c | 89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Eli Stephenson | 38c | 86.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Eli Stephenson | 78c | 85.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Oliver Okonkwo | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Eli Stephenson | 37c | 81.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Oliver Okonkwo | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Oliver Okonkwo | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Oliver Okonkwo | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Eli Stephenson | 31c | 62.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Eli Stephenson | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Eli Stephenson | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked Eli Stephenson | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Eli Stephenson | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Oliver Okonkwo | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Oliver Okonkwo | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Oliver Okonkwo | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eli Stephenson | 35c | 35.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Oliver Okonkwo | 73c | 35.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 171 | 71.3%122 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Oliver Okonkwo | 48c | 31.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Eli Stephenson | 41c | 30.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Eli Stephenson | 60c | 29.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eli Stephenson | 63c | 27.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Eli Stephenson | 52c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Oliver Okonkwo | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.