CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4007475fbb6bc795200c0ef4e49464d34409ebf60816fc18589a84057abd7192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof WRAITH PCIFIC, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 1,082$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.6 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 43c | 672.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…a7e1backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 42c | 413.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 314.88$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 42c | 310$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 309.55$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 307.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 30c | 280.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 33c | 272.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 40c | 263.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 73c | 246.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 41c | 235.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 21c | 222.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 31c | 221.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 212.33$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fire Flux Esports | 63c | 204$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 202.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 45c | 173$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 42c | 167.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 46c | 151.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 44c | 142.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 42c | 131.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 46c | 131.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 66c | 125.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 121.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 44c | 113.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 101.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Fire Flux Esports | 53c | 93.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 77.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…6a06backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…cc39backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ee23backed Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 31c | 39.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 35c | 36.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 31.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 28.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports | 69c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.