TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates17c4,706$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers57c3,775$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.492,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pirates58c3,032$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.6269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…ad1dbacked Pirates10c2,780$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates50c2,100$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.042,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Rangers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers62c1,957$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Rangers48c1,858$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.3819239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates20c1,829$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.189,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Pirates41c1,748$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.23943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers75c1,737$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.7686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Rangers55c1,410$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.1225835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Rangers49c1,236$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.2449250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Pirates34c1,194$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.026132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates51c1,089$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.3988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers42c1,026$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.631,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pirates51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Pirates9c955.56$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8611036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Pirates50c842.04$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0218748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates41c822.6$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6754941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers79c821.36$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Rangers49c689.81$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.956753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1878…6f4abacked Rangers68c527.03$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.583145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Pirates23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rangers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Rangers75c389.12$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.614966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Rangers67c388.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3317754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pirates43c368.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6779740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates7c365.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.544754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers50c354.66$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.331,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates37c336.95$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Pirates51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15314549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Rangers50c297.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.330842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Pirates50c292.17$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0819650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Rangers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1653448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Pirates21c216.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4652542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4c…0cc5backed Pirates27c205.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554231%13 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates49c203.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Pirates12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.854320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates13c178$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Pirates50c172.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2518848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Pirates34c161.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.932832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Rangers51c157$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9614146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rangers50c155$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.527953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Pirates9c149.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pirates33c141.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.631,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Rangers73c135.66$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.021145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Rangers76c131.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0619452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pirates48c117.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.345,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Rangers74c114.39$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.745162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Pirates50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pirates30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302825%7 W · 21 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Rangers49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5151955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Rangers49c99.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9825249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Pirates51c82.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc1…e0fcbacked Rangers50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pirates30c64.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.36,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pirates21c63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.111,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Pirates24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Pirates24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Pirates50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pirates34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef44…66afbacked Rangers79c47.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1516472%118 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Rangers78c40.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8617866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Rangers50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Rangers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.226459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed1…d086backed Pirates51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Rangers52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4619053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Rangers78c38.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4825452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Rangers58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4854441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5e…bc55backed Rangers51c34.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc4…bb3fbacked Pirates50c34.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers79c30.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.351,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b9…0218backed Pirates51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4761…c530backed Pirates52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152450%12 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rangers50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Rangers56c27.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9130740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7f…55cfbacked Pirates48c27.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0084…4c4fbacked Rangers78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7211165.8%73 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0641…1985backed Rangers52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Pirates50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1094455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ed…ded5backed Rangers51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4777…1e79backed Pirates51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81cd…ded4backed Pirates51c19.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Pirates58c19.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3224953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.