Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Montana State Bobcats vs. Northern Colorado Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4155d5f478f3ce5a6c59ee3357fdc78d62729ca1854a4534af25774c5df41886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana State Bobcatsof Montana State Bobcats, Northern Colorado Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Northern Colorado Bears | 18c | 1,640$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.2 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 1,418$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 31c | 1,052$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.83 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 25c | 1,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.37 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Montana State Bobcats | 71c | 982.01$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.16 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 56c | 799.98$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Montana State Bobcats | 44c | 737.46$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.98 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Northern Colorado Bears | 36c | 553.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Colorado Bears | 62c | 411.33$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Montana State Bobcats | 44c | 404.55$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 44c | 396.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Northern Colorado Bears | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Montana State Bobcats | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 51c | 277.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Montana State Bobcats | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Montana State Bobcats | 72c | 124$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Colorado Bears | 21c | 100.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northern Colorado Bears | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Northern Colorado Bears | 33c | 53.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Montana State Bobcats | 34c | 52.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Montana State Bobcats | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Montana State Bobcats | 75c | 46.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Northern Colorado Bears | 51c | 43.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 42c | 39.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Montana State Bobcats | 43c | 36.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Northern Colorado Bears | 55c | 35.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 33.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Montana State Bobcats | 43c | 32.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Montana State Bobcats | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Colorado Bears | 56c | 27.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Montana State Bobcats | 65c | 21.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Montana State Bobcats | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Northern Colorado Bears | 57c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montana State Bobcats vs. Northern Colorado Bearsthis page
- Montana State Bobcats vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-2.5)Montana State Bobcats won
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-3.5)Montana State Bobcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.