Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia-Herzegovina to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417a1fe028a59a819328a3e93e17c09cf64198c03223e16a816bb6e5f9b18287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 49c | 19,432$9,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,565.17 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 6,162$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.86 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 49c | 4,213$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.58 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Yes | 54c | 1,868$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.35 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 1,760$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 48c | 1,342$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.47 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 42c | 999.93$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 37c | 511.62$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…4d37backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 349.59$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 307.25$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 40c | 302$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 285.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 54c | 274$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 69c | 242.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 50c | 239.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 51c | 224.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 33c | 166.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…b8cdbacked Yes | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 49c | 68.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…ba44backed Yes | 46c | 67.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 41.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…6976backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…be21backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…710abacked Yes | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…bad3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…a409backed Yes | 52c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…c5bbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…530dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…ea7abacked Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina to win the second half?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.