CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41977ac64b298b5dc79d18f2225182372931f5a68c18a7bea0715230a31f8e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Festina Lenteof Club 333, Festina Lente
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Club 333 | 28c | 2,812$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.97 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Club 333 | 21c | 2,701$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.01 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Festina Lente | 60c | 1,312$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.91 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Festina Lente | 57c | 1,072$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.59 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…08c3backed Festina Lente | 75c | 876.42$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Club 333 | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Festina Lente | 59c | 793.48$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.14 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Festina Lente | 65c | 628.77$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.84 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Festina Lente | 60c | 423.09$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Club 333 | 38c | 416.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Festina Lente | 60c | 399.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Club 333 | 42c | 375.04$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Club 333 | 12c | 344.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Club 333 | 4c | 305.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Club 333 | 30c | 304$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Club 333 | 18c | 269.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Club 333 | 44c | 267$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Club 333 | 39c | 258.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Club 333 | 42c | 245.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Club 333 | 43c | 233.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Club 333 | 20c | 191.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Festina Lente | 55c | 180.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Club 333 | 31c | 179.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Club 333 | 7c | 172.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Festina Lente | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Club 333 | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Festina Lente | 51c | 143.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Club 333 | 26c | 137.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Club 333 | 44c | 135.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Festina Lente | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Club 333 | 48c | 130$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Club 333 | 53c | 129.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Festina Lente | 47c | 105.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…01fcbacked Festina Lente | 59c | 103$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Club 333 | 44c | 89.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Club 333 | 27c | 79.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Club 333 | 40c | 75.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Festina Lente | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Festina Lente | 68c | 71.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Club 333 | 25c | 69.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Club 333 | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Club 333 | 20c | 66.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…aff0backed Club 333 | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Club 333 | 35c | 49.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Festina Lente | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Festina Lente | 56c | 35.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…64fabacked Club 333 | 46c | 34.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Club 333 | 40c | 28.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…fcdfbacked Festina Lente | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Club 333 | 54c | 21.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Festina Lente | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Festina Lente | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.