Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Madison Brengle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a6226ce516b41cc87287324d957f93d2d6d8772ef00f3c325acae9f4cd5ad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Masarovaof Masarova, Brengle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brengle | 14c | 20,200$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Masarova | 37c | 12,569$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,971.48 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Masarova | 61c | 11,012$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.27 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brengle | 42c | 9,353$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.37 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Brengle | 38c | 8,850$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.32 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Brengle | 47c | 6,425$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Masarova | 38c | 3,334$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.47 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Masarova | 52c | 2,892$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.63 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brengle | 31c | 2,586$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Brengle | 1c | 2,164$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Brengle | 4c | 1,628$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Masarova | 66c | 1,251$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.23 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Brengle | 54c | 1,178$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Masarova | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Masarova | 67c | 912.4$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.02 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Masarova | 47c | 854.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.91 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Masarova | 44c | 807.3$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.84 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Brengle | 36c | 762.85$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.18 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Masarova | 40c | 615.83$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.5 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Brengle | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Brengle | 58c | 524.79$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Brengle | 45c | 492.7$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…d404backed Masarova | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Brengle | 43c | 399.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Brengle | 39c | 399.32$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Masarova | 54c | 381$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brengle | 45c | 321.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Brengle | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Brengle | 7c | 256.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Masarova | 60c | 237.21$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brengle | 44c | 215.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Masarova | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Masarova | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Masarova | 50c | 198.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Masarova | 56c | 190.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Masarova | 62c | 162.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Masarova | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Masarova | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Masarova | 34c | 149.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Brengle | 70c | 135.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Masarova | 62c | 122.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Brengle | 60c | 100.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brengle | 55c | 96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Brengle | 19c | 94.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Masarova | 55c | 91.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Masarova | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…630ebacked Brengle | 31c | 73.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Brengle | 35c | 66.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Brengle | 27c | 54.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Masarova | 50c | 51.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Masarova | 53c | 50.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Masarova | 64c | 48.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Masarova | 50c | 46.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…2cc1backed Masarova | 59c | 39.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…2bc4backed Brengle | 78c | 38.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 78cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…f81bbacked Masarova | 37c | 33.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Masarova | 69c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Masarova | 61c | 26.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Brengle | 80c | 24.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Brengle | 54c | 24.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Brengle | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Masarova | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…44c7backed Masarova | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Brengle | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.