Tennis · resolved market
Quito: Valerio Aboian vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ad922577fec12ad2d587f1782fd470d43799613e25653b11f7c250c266c2ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felipe Meligeni Alvesof Valerio Aboian, Felipe Meligeni Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 75c | 2,419$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.04 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 2,255$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.69 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valerio Aboian | 23c | 1,430$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.48 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Valerio Aboian | 30c | 1,306$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Valerio Aboian | 18c | 1,052$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.72 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 70c | 1,051$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.23 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 70c | 992$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valerio Aboian | 8c | 752.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valerio Aboian | 5c | 680.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Valerio Aboian | 29c | 594.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Valerio Aboian | 30c | 571.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Valerio Aboian | 5c | 520$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 70c | 500.01$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.91 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valerio Aboian | 30c | 481.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Valerio Aboian | 30c | 476$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Valerio Aboian | 28c | 421.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Valerio Aboian | 28c | 301.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Valerio Aboian | 19c | 291.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Valerio Aboian | 29c | 250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 195$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valerio Aboian | 30c | 186.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 70c | 171.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Valerio Aboian | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Valerio Aboian | 20c | 105.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Valerio Aboian | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…bcbdbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 71c | 80.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…36d5backed Valerio Aboian | 20c | 76.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Valerio Aboian | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Valerio Aboian | 28c | 48.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 68c | 30.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 595 | 65.4%389 W · 206 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 107 | 78.5%84 W · 23 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 70c | 19.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 68c | 19.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.