Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43183aa3a1cd3c9ba671e9a897e60ef26602971d3d62a0048d050dd48c0ad584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,680 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 18c | 475.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…f8d0backed Yes | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 75c | 274.84$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…30e0backed Yes | 62c | 273.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 61c | 272.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 73c | 263.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 210.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 30c | 205.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 43c | 178.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 51c | 165$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed Yes | 62c | 162.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 34c | 156.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 152.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…8aeabacked Yes | 69c | 143.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 31c | 137.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 33c | 122.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…c51ebacked Yes | 53c | 115.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…12c2backed Yes | 39c | 114.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 46c | 111.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed No | 45c | 110.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 50c | 109.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed No | 50c | 100.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 39c | 100.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6230…6debbacked Yes | 56c | 94.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 66c | 91.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 31c | 90.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…eadbbacked Yes | 65c | 90.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 44c | 89.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 73c | 84.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…66f8backed Yes | 66c | 73.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…8ca0backed Yes | 73c | 67.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 31c | 66.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…95c9backed Yes | 36c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 52c | 57.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked No | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked No | 45c | 48.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…22f7backed Yes | 64c | 46.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 50c | 46.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 61c | 44.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 56c | 44.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 55c | 43.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…d023backed Yes | 58c | 42.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…5e9abacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…74b8backed No | 63c | 39.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…d0cfbacked No | 48c | 39.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked Yes | 61c | 38.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…9a76backed Yes | 56c | 36.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…8029backed Yes | 57c | 35.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…522abacked No | 57c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…0634backed Yes | 55c | 34.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 43c | 29.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 59c | 28.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 58c | 27.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 76c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…6f1abacked Yes | 56c | 24.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked No | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…c6d1backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Yes | 58c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 57c | 21.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Yes | 57c | 21.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…aab7backed Yes | 53c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe830…efd0backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2646…82afbacked Yes | 57c | 19.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 59c | 18.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on March 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.