South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4406f361787347617fb731378da5555bf5cc25c253902f7c9bfbfe3fb78ad880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 70c | 2,505$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.41 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 2,039$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.58 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 1,835$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.64 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 1,456$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.2 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 65c | 1,429$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Over | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 8c | 741.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 2c | 542.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 532.18$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.38 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 8c | 502.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…a73abacked Under | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 15c | 298.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 6c | 276$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 77c | 268.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 17c | 117.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 106.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 78.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…140dbacked Under | 31c | 56.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 71c | 54.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…4b20backed Over | 67c | 42.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Under | 32c | 31.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 44c | 28.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Over | 55c | 23.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 0.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.