South American Leagues · resolved market

Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f34c494f76ab652c97773822bd05a7ae887d1af169fa8fe1e02c9787de54c3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,415 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under	58c	8,760$5,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,054.54	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	43cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	45c	5,201$2,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,877.61	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	46c	4,930$2,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,657.69	1,290	42.8%552 W · 738 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x013e…65ddbacked Under	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	1,644$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.67	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Over	41c	1,500$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	43c	1,094$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.3	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdce…b9dfbacked Under	29c	1,060$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under	64c	1,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	58c	897.24$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.71	256	35.9%92 W · 164 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under	54c	759.26$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	66c	747.44$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.08	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+4.7wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under	68c	739.68$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	212	52.4%111 W · 101 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under	59c	623.31$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under	55c	560.45$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.15	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+29%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	46c	501.2$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.42	1,443	45.9%662 W · 781 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over	39c	500$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd68…a90fbacked Over	38c	473.68$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	49c	442.02$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.88	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	60c	433.51$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.33	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	68c	426.53$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.49	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	64c	384.99$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.99	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	66c	334.67$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.45	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Over	47c	270$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.1	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under	63c	157.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-5.5wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over	47c	147.52$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.59	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	47c	138.3$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.3	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	66c	130.08$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.92	1,253	56.2%704 W · 549 L	+73.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	24c	113.39$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	57c	108$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.69	896	45.4%407 W · 489 L	-23.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over	45c	90.91$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	61c	90.78$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	675	48%324 W · 351 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	43c	79.98$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.59	194	37.1%72 W · 122 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over	42c	77.25$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.98	193	49.2%95 W · 98 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	79c	75.95$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	359	58.8%211 W · 148 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under	62c	73$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.04	412	62.1%256 W · 156 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under	58c	71.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.47	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	43c	64.06$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.75	350	46.3%162 W · 188 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	21c	60.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	63c	47.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.93	630	61.3%386 W · 244 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d01…0f69backed Under	55c	44.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.57	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Over	42c	44.4$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over	47c	43.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	79c	40$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-28.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8265…5526backed Over	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under	58c	36.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.03	142	64.1%91 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	33c	36.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.16	852	20.7%176 W · 676 L	-85.2wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over	43c	33.1$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	40c	32.89$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.73	517	50.7%262 W · 255 L	+28.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over	46c	30.12$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.39	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over	41c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	164	49.4%81 W · 83 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under	62c	27.01$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.61	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over	42c	26.89$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.66	164	59.8%98 W · 66 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over	45c	24.84$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.57	264	65.9%174 W · 90 L	+13.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under	59c	23.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x968d…7537backed Under	46c	21.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae1…f1acbacked Over	79c	21.52$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.52	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under	65c	15.85$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	49	73.5%36 W · 13 L	+6.8wins	+0.14per pick	60cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over	68c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	28	75%21 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5this page
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 0.5Over won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5Under won
Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Club Necaxa won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event