South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6356c3357b5c416acd38dd75ad71f9024e22ed1d99afc420f8fa684642bb69e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,300$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 52c | 793.54$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.59 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 30c | 724.3$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.84 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 685.45$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed No | 72c | 542.03$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 45c | 511.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 36c | 453.6$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.05 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 46c | 438.28$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 44c | 432.44$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 409$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.09 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 41c | 313.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 62c | 296.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…5295backed Yes | 34c | 154.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 149.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 42c | 140.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 132.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 59c | 127.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 44c | 108.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a7a3backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 38c | 104.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 50c | 62.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 60.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 26c | 60.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 57c | 50.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 53c | 48.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 46.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Yes | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…0a3ebacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d60…e78bbacked Yes | 29c | 41.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 41c | 39.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 48c | 21.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.