South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a91b7fd6cf984051849b55805a049ac1f1eb520fbaec6d4a243c482a104977e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 52c | 5,334$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 3,193$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.42 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 2,825$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.59 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,055$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 1,944$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.75 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 1,765$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 1,760$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 902.61$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked Under | 57c | 877.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 658.54$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 49c | 639.12$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.86 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 27c | 441.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 43c | 436$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.52 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 9c | 411$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 74c | 404.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 402.44$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.37 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 25c | 396.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 10c | 352.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Over | 19c | 290$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 8c | 274.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 31c | 247.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 17c | 233.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 55c | 217.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 50c | 217.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…986abacked Under | 50c | 210.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 65c | 177.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 43c | 166.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked Under | 53c | 145.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 39c | 115.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 115.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 13c | 114.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 112.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 56c | 93.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 16c | 86.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…bc66backed Under | 68c | 73.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 55c | 52.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 56c | 43.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 78c | 42.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 52c | 36.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 36.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Under | 79c | 30.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 45c | 29.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Under | 62c | 27.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 43c | 26.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…5efdbacked Under | 71c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.