Tennis · resolved market
ITF Zhengzhou: Rina Saigo vs Tiana Tian Deng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c4fdb3c394e376a113a6371a33d1e488786d782cb91f86b5eb9b5cf8fbe8ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiana Tian Dengof Rina Saigo, Tiana Tian Deng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Rina Saigo | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 1,178$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.53 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 412.32$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Rina Saigo | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 60c | 316.67$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Rina Saigo | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Rina Saigo | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Rina Saigo | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Rina Saigo | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Rina Saigo | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Rina Saigo | 64c | 239.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rina Saigo | 26c | 192.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tiana Tian Deng | 77c | 173.09$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Rina Saigo | 42c | 170.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Tiana Tian Deng | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Rina Saigo | 19c | 124.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rina Saigo | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rina Saigo | 43c | 113.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Tiana Tian Deng | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Tiana Tian Deng | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Tiana Tian Deng | 64c | 79.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 40c | 75.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa690…8898backed Tiana Tian Deng | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…fbe2backed Rina Saigo | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 60.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rina Saigo | 60c | 53.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 63c | 51.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rina Saigo | 41c | 51.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rina Saigo | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Rina Saigo | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Rina Saigo | 30c | 42.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tiana Tian Deng | 77c | 37.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Rina Saigo | 64c | 30.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f7…c2aabacked Tiana Tian Deng | 68c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Rina Saigo | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 61c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Rina Saigo | 73c | 13.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.