Tennis · resolved market
Croatia Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Juan Carlos Prado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x454d5bb35d545bcce0c0007bc356045f591fa1164c472e709769723d270a686b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Carlos Pradoof Lukas Neumayer, Juan Carlos Prado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer | 14c | 38,746$5,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Neumayer | 17c | 21,550$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lukas Neumayer | 13c | 16,441$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.63 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lukas Neumayer | 15c | 4,938$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 29c | 4,827$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.73 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 35c | 1,857$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.14 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 24c | 1,426$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lukas Neumayer | 24c | 1,365$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.08 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Juan Carlos Prado | 46c | 1,153$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.35 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 41c | 908.83$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.45 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 24c | 866.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Juan Carlos Prado | 72c | 772.68$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.35 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Juan Carlos Prado | 67c | 751$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 12c | 701$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Neumayer | 46c | 666.05$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.47 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 76c | 544$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Lukas Neumayer | 44c | 516.58$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Juan Carlos Prado | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Lukas Neumayer | 46c | 346$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Juan Carlos Prado | 40c | 322.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 60c | 320.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 15c | 305.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 282.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Lukas Neumayer | 43c | 280.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Lukas Neumayer | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 249.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 175 | 54.3%95 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 35c | 216.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Juan Carlos Prado | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Lukas Neumayer | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 108.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lukas Neumayer | 66c | 98.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Lukas Neumayer | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 93.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Juan Carlos Prado | 68c | 81.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Lukas Neumayer | 25c | 78.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Lukas Neumayer | 65c | 76.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 66c | 75.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Lukas Neumayer | 38c | 75.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Carlos Prado | 58c | 64.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lukas Neumayer | 36c | 62.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 62.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Lukas Neumayer | 43c | 61.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Lukas Neumayer | 28c | 59.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…2b4fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…3bedbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 59c | 49.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lukas Neumayer | 34c | 43.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Lukas Neumayer | 43c | 40.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 60c | 34.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Lukas Neumayer | 34c | 33.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Juan Carlos Prado | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lukas Neumayer | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Juan Carlos Prado | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Lukas Neumayer | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Juan Carlos Prado | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Juan Carlos Prado | 69c | 21.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a0…1257backed Lukas Neumayer | 60c | 20.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lukas Neumayer | 51c | 19.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lukas Neumayer | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Juan Carlos Prado | 67c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Juan Carlos Pradothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Neumayer vs PradoPrado won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.