Tennis · resolved market
ITF Zhengzhou: Qiu Yu Ye vs Le Yi Liu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ef7e54d3d3c68798d320a550acc5f7a9155faf7a87584fcdffbcac761c3d58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qiu Yu Yeof Qiu Yu Ye, Le Yi Liu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Qiu Yu Ye | 58c | 1,034$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.23 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Le Yi Liu | 21c | 472.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Qiu Yu Ye | 80c | 342.16$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Qiu Yu Ye | 77c | 280$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Le Yi Liu | 43c | 183.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Le Yi Liu | 42c | 142.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Le Yi Liu | 17c | 138.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Le Yi Liu | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Le Yi Liu | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Le Yi Liu | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Le Yi Liu | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Le Yi Liu | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…a45fbacked Le Yi Liu | 35c | 86.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Le Yi Liu | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Le Yi Liu | 78c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537c…c958backed Qiu Yu Ye | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Le Yi Liu | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Le Yi Liu | 43c | 66.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Qiu Yu Ye | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Qiu Yu Ye | 58c | 54.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Qiu Yu Ye | 58c | 51.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Le Yi Liu | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Qiu Yu Ye | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Qiu Yu Ye | 67c | 18.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Qiu Yu Ye | 77c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Qiu Yu Ye | 80c | 13.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.