Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x463bdfada9c89fbfce22d6900cd70a54a9a6dc044758c2873476ae8effd583d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Over | 70c | 3,522$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 30c | 2,826$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.78 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 30c | 1,784$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.04 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 29c | 945.46$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.18 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…dabbbacked Under | 25c | 556.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 31c | 505$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Over | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Over | 70c | 487.46$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Over | 70c | 464.29$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 64c | 418.52$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 80c | 414.22$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 31c | 388.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 29c | 313.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Under | 14c | 282.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Over | 69c | 282.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…c602backed Over | 69c | 255.25$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…3d2ebacked Under | 14c | 206$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 14c | 199.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 30c | 195.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Over | 69c | 188.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 70c | 185.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 30c | 173.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Over | 70c | 173$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 70c | 165.83$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 30c | 157.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 71c | 152.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Under | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…ad79backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 14c | 128.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 36c | 122.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Over | 70c | 116.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…8639backed Over | 71c | 92.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 28c | 89.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Over | 76c | 65.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Over | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 61c | 45.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2681…12bdbacked Over | 72c | 41.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 31c | 34.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…24a0backed Over | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1196backed Over | 69c | 28.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe04a…f990backed Over | 69c | 27.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Over | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14f…aeecbacked Over | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)Movistar KOI won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)Movistar KOI won
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.