Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ba10e63d3064bea59a77617b151e5c2c3f46d2f4842e678d10e7af87b8bce8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 947.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 72c | 297.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 39c | 158.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 23c | 155.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 40c | 154.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…6b31backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 72c | 130.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Over | 71c | 126.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 65c | 104.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 32c | 95.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 26c | 93.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 34c | 91.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 35c | 86.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 61.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 27c | 53.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 30c | 46.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 59c | 40.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed Under | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Over | 35c | 28.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 73c | 22.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)Movistar KOI won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)Movistar KOI won
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.