Tennis · resolved market
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Olle Wallin vs Andrea Guerrieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x468c0bddc583cf3a0c22a23591fcdb3f114d6d450671cb02337b908d2d3e5de4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Guerrieriof Olle Wallin, Andrea Guerrieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 1,663$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.74 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Olle Wallin | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Olle Wallin | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Olle Wallin | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Olle Wallin | 20c | 730.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…82ebbacked Olle Wallin | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Olle Wallin | 42c | 375.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Olle Wallin | 12c | 269.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Andrea Guerrieri | 55c | 249.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 74c | 243.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…55f8backed Andrea Guerrieri | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Andrea Guerrieri | 57c | 229.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Olle Wallin | 32c | 228.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olle Wallin | 28c | 202.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 54c | 197.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Olle Wallin | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Andrea Guerrieri | 78c | 190.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Olle Wallin | 26c | 172.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Olle Wallin | 14c | 167.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Olle Wallin | 44c | 152$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Olle Wallin | 43c | 149.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Olle Wallin | 43c | 149.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Olle Wallin | 11c | 130.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Andrea Guerrieri | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Olle Wallin | 39c | 122$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olle Wallin | 18c | 120.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Olle Wallin | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Olle Wallin | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 58c | 95.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andrea Guerrieri | 71c | 89.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Olle Wallin | 43c | 77.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Olle Wallin | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Olle Wallin | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Andrea Guerrieri | 72c | 66.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Olle Wallin | 29c | 61.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Andrea Guerrieri | 80c | 58.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf126…f89fbacked Olle Wallin | 42c | 58.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Olle Wallin | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Andrea Guerrieri | 80c | 49.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Andrea Guerrieri | 57c | 41.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Olle Wallin | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Olle Wallin | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Olle Wallin | 43c | 37.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…3f3fbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Olle Wallin | 45c | 33.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 56c | 27.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…96ecbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Andrea Guerrieri | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Olle Wallin | 43c | 24.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 59c | 20.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…9874backed Andrea Guerrieri | 61c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Andrea Guerrieri | 72c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Andrea Guerrieri | 80c | 13.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.