Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Sussex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478706089579e8ab535e675acc81577911c375971fe435d1e4748a66b31a9d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warwickshireof Warwickshire, Sussex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Sussex | 29c | 1,704$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.67 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 68c | 1,260$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.92 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sussex | 16c | 1,232$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Warwickshire | 74c | 526$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Warwickshire | 73c | 521.31$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Sussex | 23c | 462.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Warwickshire | 71c | 416.28$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Warwickshire | 74c | 264$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Warwickshire | 76c | 253.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sussex | 21c | 240.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Warwickshire | 70c | 225.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sussex | 32c | 206.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Warwickshire | 70c | 196.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Warwickshire | 77c | 193.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Warwickshire | 74c | 175$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Sussex | 49c | 169.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Sussex | 36c | 143.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Warwickshire | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Warwickshire | 73c | 131.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Sussex | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Sussex | 30c | 102.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Warwickshire | 57c | 99.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…bec3backed Sussex | 39c | 99.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Warwickshire | 78c | 97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 188 | 52.1%98 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Warwickshire | 70c | 82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 196 | 57.7%113 W · 83 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Warwickshire | 75c | 66.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Warwickshire | 57c | 59.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sussex | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sussex | 43c | 55.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Warwickshire | 52c | 54.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warwickshire | 71c | 46.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Sussex | 44c | 41.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Warwickshire | 63c | 41.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Warwickshire | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Warwickshire | 76c | 31.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Warwickshire | 74c | 26.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Warwickshire | 50c | 25.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Warwickshire | 57c | 21.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 160 | 66.3%106 W · 54 L | +16.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…772ebacked Warwickshire | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Warwickshire | 70c | 19.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Warwickshire | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Warwickshire | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Warwickshire | 73c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Warwickshire | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.