MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48462f89668cc0da94486f69aad0ac156d09312e4c50d2354e03fa1eab9658af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Athletics | 45c | 63,022$28,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,360 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Guardians | 55c | 49,984$27,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,492.77 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Guardians | 53c | 12,202$6,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739.2 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Guardians | 55c | 11,111$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.95 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 18c | 8,044$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.91 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 11c | 4,765$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.5 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics | 10c | 4,201$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.94 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 47c | 4,088$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 27c | 4,064$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 53c | 3,842$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.26 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Athletics | 1c | 3,816$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 47c | 3,404$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 44c | 3,305$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.6 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 55c | 2,480$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 55c | 2,228$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.38 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Athletics | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Athletics | 46c | 1,917$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.76 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…c66abacked Guardians | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 54c | 1,838$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.3 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 53c | 1,302$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.88 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Guardians | 56c | 1,222$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.75 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 2c | 1,190$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics | 44c | 1,124$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Guardians | 53c | 1,098$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.02 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5958backed Athletics | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics | 13c | 1,025$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Athletics | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Athletics | 46c | 927.67$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.73 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 56c | 888$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.72 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2b48backed Athletics | 48c | 864$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 44c | 780.16$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.27 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Athletics | 19c | 779.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Athletics | 47c | 547.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 47c | 523.25$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 47c | 484$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.48 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Athletics | 45c | 464.44$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 37c | 437$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 4c | 403.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 44c | 399.92$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.96 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 80c | 339.33$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 6c | 337.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 46c | 312$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…0cc5backed Guardians | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Guardians | 55c | 294.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 46c | 269.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.63 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Athletics | 47c | 257.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Athletics | 47c | 257.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 31c | 232.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Athletics | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 53c | 189.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Guardians | 52c | 175.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 11c | 169.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Athletics | 44c | 159.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…7534backed Athletics | 46c | 150.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Athletics | 44c | 149.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Athletics | 47c | 136.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 24c | 120.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f91abacked Athletics | 45c | 117.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Guardians | 54c | 116$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c9b6backed Guardians | 56c | 104$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Athletics | 45c | 101.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Athletics | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Guardians | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Guardians | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 45c | 99.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Guardians | 55c | 95.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…3702backed Guardians | 56c | 92.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…d72fbacked Guardians | 56c | 89.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians | 55c | 88.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Athletics | 14c | 86.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Guardians | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Guardians | 56c | 78.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Guardians | 55c | 74.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Athletics | 46c | 71.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Athletics | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…1a01backed Athletics | 45c | 60.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…96d1backed Athletics | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…fe5fbacked Athletics | 46c | 56.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…9b46backed Guardians | 56c | 55.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…59a7backed Guardians | 56c | 54.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 46c | 51.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Athletics | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…da4abacked Athletics | 45c | 45.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…2211backed Guardians | 56c | 45.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Athletics | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Athletics | 43c | 36.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…6730backed Guardians | 55c | 36.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Guardians | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Guardians | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…07fabacked Guardians | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Guardians | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…5b73backed Athletics | 45c | 28.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.