Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sumter: Martina Okalova vs Cadence Brace
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f2af618f2c0465c6e5421b73e3e41a49cdb85b6cbe9d217910f034ed993674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cadence Braceof Martina Okalova, Cadence Brace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martina Okalova | 25c | 8,513$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.39 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cadence Brace | 77c | 3,415$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.32 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cadence Brace | 69c | 2,724$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.75 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cadence Brace | 76c | 731.85$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Martina Okalova | 26c | 507.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Martina Okalova | 33c | 435.87$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Cadence Brace | 79c | 417.19$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Martina Okalova | 21c | 377.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Cadence Brace | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Cadence Brace | 74c | 350.09$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Cadence Brace | 79c | 347.51$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martina Okalova | 29c | 301.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Cadence Brace | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Cadence Brace | 60c | 248.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Cadence Brace | 79c | 243.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martina Okalova | 20c | 190.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Martina Okalova | 19c | 187.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cadence Brace | 79c | 181.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Martina Okalova | 26c | 176.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Martina Okalova | 26c | 174.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Martina Okalova | 61c | 163.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Cadence Brace | 78c | 160.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Cadence Brace | 66c | 109.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Cadence Brace | 47c | 79.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Cadence Brace | 78c | 62.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Cadence Brace | 75c | 50.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Martina Okalova | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Martina Okalova | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Martina Okalova | 40c | 43.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cadence Brace | 72c | 43.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Cadence Brace | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Cadence Brace | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Cadence Brace | 66c | 23.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Cadence Brace | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Cadence Brace | 69c | 19.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.