Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Clara Burel vs Yexin Ma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a75f73a83b668c15391b49c4555ead2bfb18a899fb4e263be6b7ada21f5de9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clara Burelof Clara Burel, Yexin Ma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yexin Ma | 9c | 18,245$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yexin Ma | 17c | 5,233$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.64 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Clara Burel | 74c | 4,893$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.05 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yexin Ma | 28c | 2,321$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Clara Burel | 71c | 2,128$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.1 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yexin Ma | 28c | 1,964$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Clara Burel | 76c | 1,535$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.15 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yexin Ma | 19c | 1,231$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Clara Burel | 73c | 1,214$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.09 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…cea8backed Yexin Ma | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yexin Ma | 15c | 593.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yexin Ma | 29c | 544.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Clara Burel | 68c | 307.59$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yexin Ma | 28c | 303.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Clara Burel | 72c | 289$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yexin Ma | 27c | 282$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Clara Burel | 71c | 280.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yexin Ma | 28c | 270.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yexin Ma | 31c | 265$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clara Burel | 69c | 254$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clara Burel | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Yexin Ma | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Yexin Ma | 28c | 199.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Yexin Ma | 14c | 169.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Clara Burel | 72c | 166.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yexin Ma | 29c | 164.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yexin Ma | 33c | 142.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yexin Ma | 28c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Yexin Ma | 9c | 132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clara Burel | 80c | 121.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…585bbacked Clara Burel | 74c | 114.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Yexin Ma | 27c | 112.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…2542backed Yexin Ma | 22c | 106.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yexin Ma | 33c | 103.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Clara Burel | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Clara Burel | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clara Burel | 78c | 90.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Clara Burel | 78c | 85.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac08…3f5fbacked Yexin Ma | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Yexin Ma | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Clara Burel | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yexin Ma | 17c | 77.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yexin Ma | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Clara Burel | 73c | 61.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Clara Burel | 74c | 52.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Clara Burel | 73c | 46.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yexin Ma | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yexin Ma | 31c | 43.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yexin Ma | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yexin Ma | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Clara Burel | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Clara Burel | 71c | 28.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Clara Burel | 72c | 25.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Clara Burel | 72c | 21.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Clara Burel | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Clara Burel | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Clara Burel | 70c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.