Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b604de84f904535ee5b475b7ff1e91ba4b88b78ec4f0be828f290e5c258e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Passageof Shark Attack, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shark Attack | 19c | 1,972$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.17 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94a3backed Dark Passage | 77c | 941.12$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shark Attack | 24c | 498.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Shark Attack | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Dark Passage | 75c | 413.88$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Shark Attack | 24c | 403.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Dark Passage | 78c | 387.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Shark Attack | 26c | 366.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Shark Attack | 24c | 283.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Dark Passage | 76c | 223$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dark Passage | 78c | 176.71$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Dark Passage | 73c | 145.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Dark Passage | 74c | 127$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…ddbfbacked Shark Attack | 24c | 113.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 365 | 52.6%192 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Shark Attack | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dark Passage | 76c | 97.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Shark Attack | 24c | 95.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Shark Attack | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dark Passage | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dark Passage | 74c | 69.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Dark Passage | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 405 | 49.1%199 W · 206 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Dark Passage | 77c | 53.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Dark Passage | 77c | 52.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dark Passage | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Shark Attack | 40c | 30.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dark Passage | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)Shark Attack won
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-InsShark Attack won
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage - Game 2 WinnerShark Attack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.