Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe613def319fb8ab357d3b6175506fb399bf1100d8b5c2512b508986ac17b88c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shark Attackof Shark Attack, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Dark Passage | 1c | 6,867$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Dark Passage | 32c | 1,666$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.65 | 356 | 54.8%195 W · 161 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Dark Passage | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shark Attack | 47c | 951.72$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.32 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…56cfbacked Shark Attack | 6c | 750$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shark Attack | 68c | 690$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Shark Attack | 35c | 563$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.57 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Dark Passage | 7c | 504.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shark Attack | 59c | 501.35$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dark Passage | 65c | 456.11$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.51 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dark Passage | 20c | 435.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94a3backed Shark Attack | 26c | 426.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Dark Passage | 7c | 422.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dark Passage | 9c | 409$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Dark Passage | 8c | 348.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…c49bbacked Dark Passage | 65c | 344.94$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.85 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Dark Passage | 70c | 323.26$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.05 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ba0backed Shark Attack | 15c | 251.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4994backed Shark Attack | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Dark Passage | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Shark Attack | 36c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shark Attack | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Dark Passage | 64c | 190.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Shark Attack | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Shark Attack | 31c | 153.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Dark Passage | 72c | 153.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 335 | 63.3%212 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Shark Attack | 28c | 150.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 550 | 45.3%249 W · 301 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dark Passage | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f09…38c3backed Shark Attack | 22c | 131.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dark Passage | 47c | 125.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dark Passage | 32c | 118$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Dark Passage | 33c | 112.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 363 | 59%214 W · 149 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Dark Passage | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 424 | 48.8%207 W · 217 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shark Attack | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 793 | 42.1%334 W · 459 L | -26.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shark Attack | 15c | 84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…6933backed Shark Attack | 35c | 82.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Shark Attack | 32c | 81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shark Attack | 33c | 81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Dark Passage | 76c | 71.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 610 | 55.7%340 W · 270 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Shark Attack | 24c | 71.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Shark Attack | 28c | 68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Shark Attack | 74c | 56.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 236 | 55.9%132 W · 104 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Shark Attack | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Dark Passage | 42c | 43.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Dark Passage | 69c | 37.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Dark Passage | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed Dark Passage | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Dark Passage | 45c | 24.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Dark Passage | 44c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b65…c48abacked Shark Attack | 75c | 22.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Shark Attack | 58c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)Shark Attack won
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-InsShark Attack won
- LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.