TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Shark Attack vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shark Attackof Shark Attack, Dark Passage
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Dark Passage68c15,088$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,299.651,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dark Passage51c7,282$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.841,81839.9%726 W · 1,092 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…03d1backed Shark Attack19c4,950$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,022.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+433.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…def1backed Shark Attack19c4,440$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,613.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+437.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Shark Attack26c3,093$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.5533856.2%190 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Shark Attack33c2,945$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,97134558.6%202 W · 143 L+16.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d8…8eafbacked Shark Attack66c2,850$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Dark Passage78c2,527$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9821,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf730…97e4backed Shark Attack21c2,375$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+161.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dark Passage78c2,371$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.3234835.3%123 W · 225 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed Shark Attack30c2,024$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.0624658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Shark Attack55c1,895$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.4718330.1%55 W · 128 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Dark Passage76c1,865$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.0422146.6%103 W · 118 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd544…4994backed Shark Attack24c1,850$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+190.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc539…02ccbacked Shark Attack10c1,810$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+906.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Shark Attack40c1,623$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.642,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked Shark Attack25c1,377$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.9235659%210 W · 146 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf4d…7cd4backed Shark Attack18c1,080$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+182.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Shark Attack30c989.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.0142348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dark Passage50c984.93$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.791,05323.4%246 W · 807 L-76.9wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dark Passage66c964.16$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.981,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Dark Passage48c959.17$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.761,04946%483 W · 566 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…6193backed Shark Attack72c872.36$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7221350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6392…52ddbacked Shark Attack23c803.26$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.5142049.3%207 W · 213 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Dark Passage73c777.61$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.6620542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked Shark Attack9c761.35$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.8312425.8%32 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Dark Passage37c749.04$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.961,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Dark Passage79c729.49$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57546258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Dark Passage80c674.97$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9839770.3%279 W · 118 L+30.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Dark Passage26c659.82$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.472,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dark Passage27c608.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.882,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Shark Attack68c594.81$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3415861.4%97 W · 61 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Shark Attack27c593.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.6610100%10 W · 0 L+4.7wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+115.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed Shark Attack18c589.92$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.749028.9%26 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Shark Attack29c577.24$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.8469857.4%401 W · 297 L+37.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed Shark Attack74c560$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.634558.3%201 W · 144 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Dark Passage57c522.91$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7893844.3%416 W · 522 L-31.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4176…1ddcbacked Shark Attack20c500.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Shark Attack56c499.97$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9994237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Dark Passage42c478$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6950344.9%226 W · 277 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Shark Attack16c458$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1512935.7%46 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Shark Attack48c452.46$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5542540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Dark Passage33c445.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.863,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c92…04f7backed Dark Passage37c422.56$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.12661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Shark Attack19c420$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.266845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Shark Attack24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6730521.3%65 W · 240 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Dark Passage79c409$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.561,45943.3%632 W · 827 L-33.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b7…c49bbacked Dark Passage74c404.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016253.7%87 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Shark Attack13c400.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4597254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Dark Passage45c399.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8630046%138 W · 162 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9287…0d4cbacked Shark Attack34c386.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Shark Attack26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6236452.7%192 W · 172 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Dark Passage26c375.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.238445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Shark Attack71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1146846.8%219 W · 249 L-23.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dark Passage61c347.96$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4684949.4%419 W · 430 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Dark Passage25c330.1$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7328938.4%111 W · 178 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Dark Passage29c302.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.341,34931.1%420 W · 929 L-128.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Dark Passage29c266.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2882836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Dark Passage72c262.45$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.123146.8%108 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Dark Passage36c262$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8711146.8%52 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+47.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Shark Attack62c251.43$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9879773.3%584 W · 213 L+45.3wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Shark Attack59c250$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7562826%163 W · 465 L-89.3wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa45a…02e5backed Shark Attack29c248.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.435647.5%169 W · 187 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked Dark Passage54c229.5$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.715441.6%64 W · 90 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Shark Attack17c227.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7322240.1%89 W · 133 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Dark Passage41c225.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5832253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dark Passage73c222.52$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.911,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Shark Attack19c222$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8240726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Shark Attack19c202.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.772,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Shark Attack15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17038931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed Shark Attack54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9238342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Shark Attack13c199.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4934342%144 W · 199 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x777f…e89dbacked Dark Passage72c199.29$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.49650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed Shark Attack27c184.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5835850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Shark Attack64c177.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7721749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d37…f722backed Shark Attack66c175.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+82.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62e…2d85backed Shark Attack51c174.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.74245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Dark Passage64c172.21$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9822043.6%96 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Dark Passage58c168$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4439055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Dark Passage29c160.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.840031.3%125 W · 275 L-28.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed Shark Attack49c150.58$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2340955.5%227 W · 182 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Shark Attack17c149.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.491,44413.2%191 W · 1,253 L-110.0wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Dark Passage56c149.79$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6955428.7%159 W · 395 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Dark Passage57c148.17$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.021,04239.6%413 W · 629 L-73.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a9d…6c84backed Dark Passage21c147.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.534438.7%133 W · 211 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Dark Passage38c142.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2884942.5%361 W · 488 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34f…1cfabacked Dark Passage44c137.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.094658.7%27 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Shark Attack19c130.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0257855.5%321 W · 257 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff85…e923backed Dark Passage74c130.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.329339.8%37 W · 56 L-10.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x53d7…0bd8backed Shark Attack80c123.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.857231.9%23 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Dark Passage43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021854.6%119 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Shark Attack32c115.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6330440.1%122 W · 182 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Shark Attack44c114.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2918357.4%105 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked Shark Attack76c108$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9221968%149 W · 70 L+28.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Dark Passage44c105$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.523749.4%117 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shark Attack25c104.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.22,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Dark Passage43c100.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7338845.4%176 W · 212 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Shark Attack20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1915739.5%62 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shark Attack76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.677641.6%323 W · 453 L-27.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Shark Attack27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.062218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.