Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Marie Villet vs Sofia Camila Rojas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ce495fcd156bd1ed89563a1bf8a96dc3497e2f528d32fd5e9d6d5b1487495b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Camila Rojasof Marie Villet, Sofia Camila Rojas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 74c | 3,438$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marie Villet | 25c | 3,001$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.03 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.1 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marie Villet | 65c | 1,630$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.81 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marie Villet | 26c | 483.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marie Villet | 39c | 386.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marie Villet | 44c | 227.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 56c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 32c | 79.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…a7e9backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Marie Villet | 44c | 71.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Marie Villet | 56c | 56.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marie Villet | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Marie Villet | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…2b05backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Marie Villet | 44c | 39.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 71c | 34.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.