Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a7cddb3159c1b6a311f121e31aed3cfd4a7843ea8b4d933a7e3e0b509c2d0ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 0c | 53,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 4,295$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.02 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 2,209$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.48 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 1,725$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.31 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 1,001$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 980.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 49c | 970.2$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.8 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 929.49$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 727.24$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 55c | 415.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 202.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 45c | 199.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 185.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 127.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 49c | 101.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 50c | 100.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 94.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 74c | 93.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 31c | 63.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…f50ebacked Under | 50c | 49.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Under | 53c | 37.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 53c | 37.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 22.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 16.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 139.5this page
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-3.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-4.5)UC Santa Barbara Gauchos won
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Irvine AnteatersUC Irvine Anteaters won
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 137.5Under won
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.