Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nice: Nika Hurkacz vs Denislava Glushkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b142304fc8c69e4f2a9967c59b17ccf89caa7cb3fd7dd11de4e78d2339e722e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denislava Glushkovaof Nika Hurkacz, Denislava Glushkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Denislava Glushkova | 66c | 6,439$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.97 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…d758backed Denislava Glushkova | 53c | 2,051$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.08 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Denislava Glushkova | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nika Hurkacz | 12c | 1,201$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nika Hurkacz | 39c | 1,129$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Nika Hurkacz | 24c | 1,082$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.73 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Nika Hurkacz | 25c | 680.36$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Denislava Glushkova | 74c | 673.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Nika Hurkacz | 22c | 670.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nika Hurkacz | 39c | 652.54$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nika Hurkacz | 35c | 600$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nika Hurkacz | 33c | 565.8$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.96 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nika Hurkacz | 15c | 356.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Nika Hurkacz | 12c | 347.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Denislava Glushkova | 50c | 286.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Denislava Glushkova | 67c | 257.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…f609backed Denislava Glushkova | 79c | 253.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Nika Hurkacz | 22c | 227.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Nika Hurkacz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Denislava Glushkova | 60c | 200.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nika Hurkacz | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Denislava Glushkova | 38c | 187.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Nika Hurkacz | 38c | 134.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nika Hurkacz | 44c | 126.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Nika Hurkacz | 12c | 119.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Nika Hurkacz | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Nika Hurkacz | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Nika Hurkacz | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nika Hurkacz | 11c | 99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Denislava Glushkova | 54c | 91.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Denislava Glushkova | 54c | 88.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Denislava Glushkova | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Nika Hurkacz | 26c | 63.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Nika Hurkacz | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Nika Hurkacz | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Nika Hurkacz | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Nika Hurkacz | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Denislava Glushkova | 32c | 52.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Nika Hurkacz | 46c | 43.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 183 | 30.1%55 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Denislava Glushkova | 75c | 41.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Denislava Glushkova | 40c | 40.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Denislava Glushkova | 50c | 38.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Denislava Glushkova | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Denislava Glushkova | 60c | 36.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nika Hurkacz | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nika Hurkacz | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Denislava Glushkova | 38c | 28.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.