MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b2669ed2f52fa7fc8f4535006db8841a17939a4454dd92ae6ccc8af715c2d91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof Kia Tigers, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 54c | 1,375$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 1,173$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.94 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 37c | 788.82$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 59c | 786.63$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Kia Tigers | 5c | 733.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 561.87$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.98 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 37c | 530.66$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kia Tigers | 37c | 380$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed SSG Landers | 39c | 258.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 258.02$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed SSG Landers | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed SSG Landers | 54c | 220.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked SSG Landers | 37c | 210.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 39c | 150.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 37c | 136.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 120.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SSG Landers | 43c | 119.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 112.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 46c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 101.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed SSG Landers | 36c | 98.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SSG Landers | 43c | 75.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kia Tigers | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kia Tigers | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 37c | 55.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SSG Landers | 48c | 49.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed SSG Landers | 35c | 47.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 46.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed SSG Landers | 37c | 45.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed SSG Landers | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed SSG Landers | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SSG Landers | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked SSG Landers | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 36c | 33.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed SSG Landers | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 28.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed SSG Landers | 56c | 28.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed SSG Landers | 38c | 26.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 24.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 20.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 17.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.