CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5c523f9004c1755685712c1068642035dfe61a1605613b558043df6a717e1d

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Honvédof The Last Resort, Honvéd
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,083 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5135…7217backed The Last Resort	52c	4,484$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320	1,680	53.2%893 W · 787 L	+65.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Honvéd	48c	4,476$2,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,327.62	780	52.8%412 W · 368 L	+28.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Honvéd	56c	2,706$1,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.96	643	56.9%366 W · 277 L	+40.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked The Last Resort	50c	1,773$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.11	5,137	55%2,826 W · 2,311 L	+119.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Honvéd	50c	1,458$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729	192	53.6%103 W · 89 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Honvéd	51c	879.81$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.83	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…fefbbacked Honvéd	49c	816.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.33	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Honvéd	60c	698.19$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.37	2,536	43.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L	+44.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked The Last Resort	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	202	53.5%108 W · 94 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Honvéd	49c	599.89$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.95	620	54.8%340 W · 280 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort	41c	500$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.63	5,911	37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L	+74.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…caf8backed The Last Resort	52c	441.93$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.99	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Honvéd	51c	440.61$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.87	533	42.6%227 W · 306 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked The Last Resort	51c	439.76$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.28	786	34%267 W · 519 L	-49.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Honvéd	49c	409.06$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.06	238	32.8%78 W · 160 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed The Last Resort	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2,048	53.8%1,101 W · 947 L	+8.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked The Last Resort	40c	384$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.68	267	45.3%121 W · 146 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed The Last Resort	51c	365.05$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.17	500	54.6%273 W · 227 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked The Last Resort	35c	357.68$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.8	2,237	43.2%966 W · 1,271 L	-70.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed The Last Resort	50c	354.74$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.37	2,674	51.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L	+25.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed The Last Resort	45c	352.11$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	304	37.8%115 W · 189 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked The Last Resort	51c	336$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.07	224	55.8%125 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked The Last Resort	52c	300$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	-9.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed The Last Resort	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	378	48.1%182 W · 196 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed The Last Resort	52c	287$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.96	365	49.9%182 W · 183 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Honvéd	50c	286.27$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.14	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-8.5wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed The Last Resort	51c	276.66$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.16	485	54.6%265 W · 220 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed The Last Resort	51c	260.67$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.94	212	52.4%111 W · 101 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Honvéd	46c	241.44$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.59	177	42.4%75 W · 102 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Honvéd	49c	240.09$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.45	349	40.7%142 W · 207 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed The Last Resort	44c	227.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked The Last Resort	34c	212.82$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.25	1,932	42.2%815 W · 1,117 L	-69.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked The Last Resort	43c	203.51$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.08	3,624	29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L	-291.8wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Honvéd	49c	196.85$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.39	450	52.4%236 W · 214 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked The Last Resort	51c	161$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.32	281	50.9%143 W · 138 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Honvéd	53c	158.35$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.79	4,817	43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L	-90.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed The Last Resort	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	857	55.8%478 W · 379 L	+30.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked The Last Resort	35c	117.56$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	2,441	42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L	-72.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed The Last Resort	53c	116.72$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.42	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-6.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed The Last Resort	50c	100.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	159	23.3%37 W · 122 L	-18.2wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed The Last Resort	49c	95$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.55	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+13.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffa3…4a81backed Honvéd	56c	88.68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.68	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Honvéd	49c	80$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	154	36.4%56 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed The Last Resort	51c	80$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.95	1,950	47.8%932 W · 1,018 L	-50.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked The Last Resort	32c	77.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.81	2,585	34.6%894 W · 1,691 L	-200.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e13…e3e1backed The Last Resort	45c	75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Honvéd	48c	71$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	77	35.1%27 W · 50 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked The Last Resort	26c	70$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	3,994	36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L	-207.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Honvéd	49c	60.49$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.85	228	57%130 W · 98 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked The Last Resort	43c	56.36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	2,192	47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L	-59.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Honvéd	47c	55.25$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.18	5,651	47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L	+46.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c55…8dedbacked The Last Resort	54c	54.76$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.57	103	46.6%48 W · 55 L	-10.4wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71d3…e130backed The Last Resort	54c	54.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.56	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed The Last Resort	36c	53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	2,589	41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L	-123.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed The Last Resort	37c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	5,400	31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L	-393.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked The Last Resort	37c	47.77$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	3,319	45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L	-87.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56bf…0852backed Honvéd	49c	42.86$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.86	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked The Last Resort	43c	37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	1,634	43.2%706 W · 928 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9266…a9d3backed The Last Resort	51c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	105	60%63 W · 42 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Honvéd	49c	33.94$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.23	404	41.8%169 W · 235 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked The Last Resort	52c	32.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed The Last Resort	31c	32.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	235	26.4%62 W · 173 L	-15.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed The Last Resort	31c	32.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	176	26.1%46 W · 130 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x314f…e463backed The Last Resort	53c	31.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked The Last Resort	45c	31.19$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.96	538	45.2%243 W · 295 L	-20.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked The Last Resort	48c	29.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b12…1a7bbacked The Last Resort	56c	27.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2fe…580bbacked The Last Resort	52c	26.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6240…54c0backed Honvéd	59c	26.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.6	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…f74cbacked The Last Resort	47c	24.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	-15.9wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Honvéd	49c	23.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	149	60.4%90 W · 59 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Honvéd	48c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.89	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed The Last Resort	48c	22.94$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…d118backed Honvéd	61c	20.56$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.11	44	86.4%38 W · 6 L	+7.4wins	+0.17per pick	70cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Honvéd	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	101	52.5%53 W · 48 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e0…d8b8backed The Last Resort	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked The Last Resort	51c	19.61$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	182	59.9%109 W · 73 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bthis page
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Honvéd - Map 1 WinnerHonvéd won
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Honvéd - Map 2 WinnerHonvéd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event