CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b64929acd892c2e2350ca244921b2d4fd876df69824c5c2b3fdb191dbcbea71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Falcons Force | 52c | 3,689$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.4 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MANA eSports | 56c | 1,894$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.87 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Falcons Force | 55c | 1,176$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.49 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MANA eSports | 56c | 1,160$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.65 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Falcons Force | 44c | 976.48$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.16 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Falcons Force | 55c | 970.96$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.03 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked MANA eSports | 48c | 893.37$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.63 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked MANA eSports | 48c | 859.73$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.06 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked MANA eSports | 47c | 744$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.71 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed MANA eSports | 68c | 734.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.09 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed Falcons Force | 77c | 709.99$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Falcons Force | 61c | 662.58$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked MANA eSports | 48c | 588.85$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.2 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MANA eSports | 57c | 568.25$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.35 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 50c | 508$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.36 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Falcons Force | 55c | 494.18$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Falcons Force | 43c | 462.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Falcons Force | 43c | 453.49$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed MANA eSports | 12c | 418.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.42 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed MANA eSports | 45c | 360.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.12 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Falcons Force | 55c | 323.64$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Falcons Force | 45c | 322.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Falcons Force | 41c | 314.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.31 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Falcons Force | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Falcons Force | 55c | 290$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed MANA eSports | 48c | 282.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed MANA eSports | 43c | 278.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MANA eSports | 57c | 253$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed MANA eSports | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Falcons Force | 43c | 247.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Falcons Force | 61c | 223.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MANA eSports | 32c | 209.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Falcons Force | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Falcons Force | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed MANA eSports | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MANA eSports | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Falcons Force | 41c | 199.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Falcons Force | 51c | 194.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked MANA eSports | 48c | 192.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed MANA eSports | 50c | 191.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…3d71backed Falcons Force | 47c | 191.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Falcons Force | 61c | 163.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Falcons Force | 53c | 159.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed MANA eSports | 44c | 152.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed MANA eSports | 60c | 137.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked MANA eSports | 52c | 136.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Falcons Force | 30c | 133$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Falcons Force | 43c | 128.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MANA eSports | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…fa0dbacked Falcons Force | 24c | 125.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Falcons Force | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed MANA eSports | 57c | 116.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked Falcons Force | 55c | 114.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8238…7fe1backed Falcons Force | 58c | 114.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Falcons Force | 66c | 113.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Falcons Force | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Falcons Force | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Falcons Force | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Falcons Force | 55c | 109.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Falcons Force | 69c | 106.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked MANA eSports | 34c | 101.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed MANA eSports | 56c | 100.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Falcons Force | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked MANA eSports | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed MANA eSports | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Falcons Force | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Falcons Force | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…bd0fbacked Falcons Force | 51c | 98.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Falcons Force | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed MANA eSports | 52c | 94.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 56c | 92.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Falcons Force | 43c | 88.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Falcons Force | 23c | 81.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed MANA eSports | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Falcons Force | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…1d37backed Falcons Force | 65c | 76.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Falcons Force | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Falcons Force | 62c | 61.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed MANA eSports | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed MANA eSports | 53c | 58.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Falcons Force | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MANA eSports | 44c | 57.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed MANA eSports | 59c | 51.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Falcons Force | 41c | 51.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked MANA eSports | 26c | 50.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Falcons Force | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked MANA eSports | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Falcons Force | 30c | 45.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Falcons Force | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Falcons Force | 43c | 35.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Falcons Force | 47c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Falcons Force | 45c | 29.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Falcons Force | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed MANA eSports | 75c | 29.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed MANA eSports | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Falcons Force | 55c | 26.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked MANA eSports | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…aa50backed Falcons Force | 47c | 26.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked MANA eSports | 46c | 25.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Falcons Force | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.