Cricket · resolved market
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bhutan vs Hong Kong, China
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7d43ddf6d760b4557e1bfbb43d089d6cce639133cacad8a93b74794b2f6b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hong Kong, Chinaof Bhutan, Hong Kong, China
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bhutan | 3c | 2,136$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Bhutan | 13c | 2,124$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.72 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Bhutan | 12c | 2,067$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bhutan | 3c | 1,025$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Hong Kong, China | 62c | 819.8$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.86 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bhutan | 43c | 815$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.23 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Bhutan | 6c | 586.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bhutan | 17c | 433.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Hong Kong, China | 77c | 262.13$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…69b7backed Bhutan | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Bhutan | 25c | 203.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Hong Kong, China | 65c | 202.04$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…73b8backed Bhutan | 24c | 100.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Hong Kong, China | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Bhutan | 23c | 87.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Hong Kong, China | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Bhutan | 20c | 65.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…9575backed Bhutan | 45c | 54.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…e3ffbacked Hong Kong, China | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Hong Kong, China | 74c | 50.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Bhutan | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Hong Kong, China | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Hong Kong, China | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hong Kong, China | 73c | 34.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Hong Kong, China | 71c | 33.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Bhutan | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hong Kong, China | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.