Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8cff6aab8d2145a26289df34ce1c88ef8843b4f5d8e7296d9d41522cc8c0f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 6,415$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.48 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 5,437$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.65 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 4,737$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.3 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,551$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.83 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,722$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.63 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 1,465$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 1,065$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.45 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 867.26$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.52 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 751.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 740.04$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 640.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 424.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 354.85$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 340$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…6b34backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 333.82$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 333$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 305.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 208.57$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 181.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 169$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 76.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…cf46backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked BetBoom Team | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…037abacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.