Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d936d16c0278b07664fb453e0c103be4847f79fdce05f63a075d19e3d4f1981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 4,317$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.92 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked BetBoom Team | 66c | 4,180$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.2 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,497$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.76 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team | 61c | 1,647$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.1 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,595$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.56 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,037$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.2 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BetBoom Team | 74c | 868$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.02 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 647.06$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 568$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.21 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 398.53$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 364.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 337.46$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.35 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 311.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…8d0dbacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 232.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked BetBoom Team | 67c | 229.41$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 146.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 140.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 123.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…d860backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 74.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…933fbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 65.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 35.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…0a8abacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked BetBoom Team | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3)BetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.