Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Yuki Mochizuki vs Hiromasa Koyama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bbccf5e938c16006c9dd21a58820b260d22625da3cb89260d72e87565ad38c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiromasa Koyamaof Yuki Mochizuki, Hiromasa Koyama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yuki Mochizuki | 39c | 7,444$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.11 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hiromasa Koyama | 57c | 3,134$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.57 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Hiromasa Koyama | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Hiromasa Koyama | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hiromasa Koyama | 58c | 723.46$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 59c | 513.5$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.4 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…dca8backed Yuki Mochizuki | 24c | 481.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Yuki Mochizuki | 34c | 362.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Hiromasa Koyama | 56c | 347.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 58c | 308.46$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 58c | 306.05$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 44c | 296.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yuki Mochizuki | 45c | 263.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yuki Mochizuki | 41c | 237.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Hiromasa Koyama | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 58c | 155.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yuki Mochizuki | 32c | 114.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Yuki Mochizuki | 62c | 94.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Hiromasa Koyama | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Hiromasa Koyama | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Hiromasa Koyama | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Hiromasa Koyama | 59c | 82.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 27c | 78.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 35c | 65.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Hiromasa Koyama | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Hiromasa Koyama | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yuki Mochizuki | 29c | 46.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yuki Mochizuki | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 73c | 27.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yuki Mochizuki | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 65c | 24.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0a41backed Yuki Mochizuki | 67c | 22.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.