South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf26e9c2b234736d59553206914fc4feac2c12b2c3db902ae5b0ffc5e680f09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 7,816$5,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.72 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.85 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 3,573$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 22c | 3,116$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.35 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,994$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 68c | 1,307$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.21 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 14c | 1,161$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.38 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 805.8$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 530.46$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 14c | 494.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 56c | 459.82$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 377.33$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 54c | 357.03$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 338.23$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 70c | 334.89$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 312.9$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 309.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 56c | 305.35$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 257.69$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 41c | 246.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 24c | 228.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 228.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 63c | 219$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 210$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 71c | 200.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 140.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 139.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 129.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 41c | 117$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 48c | 116.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 36c | 93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 41c | 76.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 37c | 73.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 42c | 73.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 36c | 70.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 69c | 68.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 36c | 53.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 35c | 47.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Yes | 38c | 37.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 36c | 36.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…213dbacked Yes | 50c | 31.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed No | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…d377backed No | 67c | 26.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed No | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed No | 61c | 25.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 42c | 24.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 24.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 62c | 23.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 64c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed No | 69c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-07-24?No won
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.