Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Eliot Spizzirri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c212e4b5270ad4eab00c62d74481af3de6b87b5650d4a52f4ae45125e0eb2c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halysof Halys, Spizzirri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spizzirri | 33c | 2,840$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Halys | 66c | 2,067$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.71 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Halys | 61c | 1,965$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.35 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Spizzirri | 58c | 1,552$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.65 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Halys | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Halys | 9c | 888$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.08 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Halys | 44c | 864.72$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.51 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Spizzirri | 61c | 826.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spizzirri | 32c | 804.77$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Spizzirri | 56c | 510$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Halys | 56c | 460.32$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Halys | 42c | 417.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Spizzirri | 59c | 375.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Halys | 49c | 342.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Halys | 42c | 339.04$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.64 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Spizzirri | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Halys | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Spizzirri | 54c | 290.74$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Halys | 42c | 284.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.78 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Spizzirri | 58c | 254.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Halys | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Halys | 44c | 238.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Spizzirri | 51c | 226$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Halys | 51c | 200.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Halys | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Spizzirri | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Halys | 50c | 199.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Spizzirri | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Spizzirri | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Halys | 43c | 146$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Spizzirri | 24c | 141.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Halys | 73c | 137.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Halys | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Spizzirri | 23c | 113.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed Spizzirri | 16c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Halys | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…db16backed Spizzirri | 57c | 82.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Spizzirri | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Spizzirri | 60c | 67.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Halys | 50c | 64.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Spizzirri | 59c | 58.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Halys | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Halys | 42c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spizzirri | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Spizzirri | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Halys | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Spizzirri | 32c | 49.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Halys | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Spizzirri | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Halys | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Spizzirri | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Halys | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…68d5backed Spizzirri | 34c | 38.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Spizzirri | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Spizzirri | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Spizzirri | 43c | 29.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Spizzirri | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Eliot Spizzirrithis page
- Halys vs. Spizzirri: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.