Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Somerset
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c2d3ae5717835a15d01757148220932300c4fa08320db6b298fc0f9da526028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Worcestershireof Worcestershire, Somerset
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Somerset | 15c | 1,049$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Somerset | 13c | 839.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Worcestershire | 40c | 563.61$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.27 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Worcestershire | 38c | 391$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.66 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Somerset | 40c | 226.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Somerset | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Worcestershire | 44c | 186.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Worcestershire | 39c | 159.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Somerset | 63c | 159.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Somerset | 49c | 153.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Somerset | 63c | 145.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Somerset | 59c | 134.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Somerset | 55c | 132.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Worcestershire | 59c | 116$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 188 | 52.1%98 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Somerset | 63c | 113.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Somerset | 60c | 111.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Worcestershire | 66c | 111.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Somerset | 46c | 109.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Somerset | 38c | 99.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Worcestershire | 37c | 92.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Somerset | 39c | 75.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Worcestershire | 40c | 74.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…43a2backed Worcestershire | 43c | 68.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Somerset | 65c | 67.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Somerset | 77c | 65.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 221 | 36.2%80 W · 141 L | -24.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Somerset | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 194 | 27.3%53 W · 141 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Somerset | 53c | 61.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Somerset | 22c | 57.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Worcestershire | 79c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Somerset | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Somerset | 62c | 48.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Somerset | 56c | 38.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Somerset | 53c | 30.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 396 | 44.2%175 W · 221 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Somerset | 77c | 30.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Somerset | 60c | 30.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Worcestershire | 36c | 29.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Worcestershire | 39c | 26.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Somerset | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Somerset | 58c | 23.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Worcestershire | 73c | 21.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Somerset | 74c | 17.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.