CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c327d5084d501704ea656e76edc65775f7f9186606bc518c7dd7424dc82bcc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof FaZe Up Next, STATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FaZe Up Next | 60c | 2,368$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.22 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed STATE | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.98 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed STATE | 35c | 1,711$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.49 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed FaZe Up Next | 62c | 980.73$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.08 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked FaZe Up Next | 35c | 764.17$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…0fb8backed STATE | 44c | 724.17$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FaZe Up Next | 50c | 561.9$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.24 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed STATE | 57c | 521.71$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked STATE | 45c | 488.25$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked FaZe Up Next | 76c | 394.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked STATE | 51c | 310.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FaZe Up Next | 58c | 264.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed FaZe Up Next | 51c | 258$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FaZe Up Next | 54c | 244$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed STATE | 68c | 219.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed FaZe Up Next | 37c | 218.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked FaZe Up Next | 65c | 212$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed STATE | 76c | 210$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked STATE | 47c | 203.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked STATE | 34c | 178.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked FaZe Up Next | 24c | 168.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed FaZe Up Next | 17c | 158$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed FaZe Up Next | 52c | 154.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FaZe Up Next | 54c | 144.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked STATE | 58c | 137$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked STATE | 62c | 129.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 42c | 127.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…12d2backed FaZe Up Next | 40c | 125.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed STATE | 48c | 124.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FaZe Up Next | 61c | 114$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked STATE | 41c | 97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked STATE | 60c | 94.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…04a5backed FaZe Up Next | 33c | 91.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked STATE | 63c | 90.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked FaZe Up Next | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked FaZe Up Next | 56c | 86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3604…2e5abacked FaZe Up Next | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed STATE | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed FaZe Up Next | 60c | 74.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FaZe Up Next | 32c | 74.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed FaZe Up Next | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 499 | 52.3%261 W · 238 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed STATE | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FaZe Up Next | 35c | 62.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…ba9ebacked STATE | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed STATE | 69c | 59.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9b…719dbacked STATE | 41c | 57.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed FaZe Up Next | 35c | 50.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed FaZe Up Next | 35c | 50.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed FaZe Up Next | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 44c | 46.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked STATE | 34c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked STATE | 46c | 45.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…df3abacked FaZe Up Next | 64c | 34.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed FaZe Up Next | 56c | 32.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed STATE | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FaZe Up Next | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed FaZe Up Next | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked STATE | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked FaZe Up Next | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked STATE | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked STATE | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FaZe Up Next | 64c | 24.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FaZe Up Next | 49c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed FaZe Up Next | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…ca6fbacked FaZe Up Next | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…79dabacked STATE | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs STATE - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs STATE - Map 2 WinnerFaZe Up Next won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.