Fifa International · resolved market
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4caad835c8b3b2d81cb2bb3f540869bf775a40447a9a2065192dc307dca7c6b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 54c | 5,010$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.3 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 70c | 1,247$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.74 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 700.44$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 63c | 575.62$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.24 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…804bbacked Over | 75c | 509.98$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 454.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 20c | 337.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 50c | 296.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d0…85b0backed Over | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…4898backed Over | 72c | 249.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…6e94backed Over | 79c | 234.1$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 37c | 221.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 44c | 215$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…4a39backed Over | 55c | 199.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…af91backed Over | 79c | 191.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Over | 78c | 171.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 161.46$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 33c | 160$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 45c | 159.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 42c | 146.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 69c | 143$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…db24backed Over | 75c | 140.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…c73fbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…2bf1backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 31c | 76.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…cd39backed Over | 70c | 54.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 72c | 51.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 47c | 51.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…bc67backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 45c | 45.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 54c | 43.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 75c | 42.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 27c | 38.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Under | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 37c | 37.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…36c4backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…b617backed Over | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…9b28backed Over | 80c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerSweden won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.