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Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c4,848$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.862,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under31c4,175$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.11,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54027845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under44c3,100$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.0664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under42c3,055$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.0913151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over72c2,665$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.512,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Over41c2,451$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.4617149.7%85 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under59c2,450$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.2215459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Under20c2,411$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.63277.4%2 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under56c2,295$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.687653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c2,026$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c1,842$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over73c1,790$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.1329347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over62c1,656$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.8546939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over51c1,427$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.111,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over71c1,406$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4817453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over74c1,007$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.631,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59029042.1%122 W · 168 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under41c801.69$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.6940163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over68c727.27$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.644,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over37c638.58$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1838960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under31c582$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under59c470.12$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.325848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd442…f946backed Over69c432.84$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.183053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under29c376.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under32c333$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.562,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under13c327$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6545548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c312.15$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.111,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under29c307.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3732444.1%143 W · 181 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over65c306.05$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.752,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under41c301$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4126047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e9f…164dbacked Over48c206.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.396637.9%25 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under30c202$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de2…1d6fbacked Over68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6411349.6%56 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Under41c168$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8813443.3%58 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over60c166.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9211145%50 W · 61 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Under59c164.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.819956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d35…bd2cbacked Over71c162.97$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.263969.2%27 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under11c162.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8524046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6627554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under24c149.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.430547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over75c130.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.162,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Over58c128.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9510252.9%54 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over71c127.94$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.361,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under28c124.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under60c117.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9313651.5%70 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under33c115$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5877051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x367d…7312backed Under59c112.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.123240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under31c110$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2741551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Under59c105.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.169359.1%55 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under29c98.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.479149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over40c97.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4913054.6%71 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under44c93.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4129639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d01…ead8backed Under32c81.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0cb…419fbacked Under50c79.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under42c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.562,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2763…abe6backed Under33c67.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.211331.9%36 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Under59c67.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6512357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under31c64.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0467447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaaa…6783backed Under59c58.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under30c52.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b81…189ebacked Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5c…cfa8backed Over50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.57569.3%52 W · 23 L+13.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under60c43.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2913243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23a…147bbacked Over35c43.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked Over70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8620049%98 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7497…18cebacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.911039.1%43 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Under60c32.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.676050%30 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under59c32.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.219257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Under60c29.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.637644.7%34 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.998149.4%40 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31a8…c9ccbacked Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9c…fd02backed Under60c28.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.053759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over69c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.033,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Over46c23.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.827447.3%35 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over69c22.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.843,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over70c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.71,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4547…ac9bbacked Over70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66737.3%25 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2b…451dbacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.48658.1%50 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under60c19.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9927251.8%141 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over67c16.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd0…1f67backed Over69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6517652.8%93 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.