Fifa International · resolved market
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4774d2aba4901a9cf441feda39dcae9d9bf8ad4d55bdce7f6392fbf4abc3ac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 21c | 4,363$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.24 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 10c | 3,129$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.62 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 79c | 3,111$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.41 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 9c | 2,279$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 21c | 1,796$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.85 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 1,667$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Under | 70c | 1,329$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.03 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 79c | 1,002$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 60c | 899$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.92 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 48c | 799.99$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.16 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…0145backed Over | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 572.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 74c | 549.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Over | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 8c | 328.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…ec91backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 10c | 213.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 9c | 211.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 20c | 184.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 15c | 114.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 23c | 72.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…8bb9backed Under | 59c | 38.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 52c | 37.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416d…6fd5backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 78c | 16.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Under | 78c | 13.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 56 | 82.1%46 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Team to Take First CornerSweden won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.