TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,495 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over31c1,097$336 inLost-$33612223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under69c706.09$487 inWon+$218.8934357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Under77c577.14$444 inWon+$132.99372%67 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over31c323.56$100 inLost-$10028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over23c236.65$54 inLost-$54.432,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under73c133.71$98 inWon+$35.894353.5%23 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over23c124.72$28 inLost-$28.183,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under69c100$69 inWon+$3126042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under77c55.54$43 inWon+$12.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over25c54.92$14 inLost-$13.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf119…41b6backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost-$101612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under71c30$21 inWon+$8.72,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.